- Academic Editor
†These authors contributed equally.
Background: The SYNTAX score (SS) is useful for predicting
clinical outcomes in patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention
(PCI). The clinical SYNTAX score (CSS), developed by combining clinical
parameters with the SS, enhances the risk model’s ability to predict clinical
outcomes. However, prior research has not yet evaluated the prognostic capacity
of CSS in patients with complex coronary artery disease (CAD) and chronic renal
insufficiency (CRI) who are undergoing PCI. We aimed to
demonstrate the prognostic potential of CSS in assessing long-term adverse events
in this high-risk patient cohort. Methods: A total of 962
patients with left main and/or three-vessel CAD and CRI were enrolled in the
study spanning from January 2014 to September 2017. The CSS was calculated by
multiplying the SS by the modified age, creatinine, and left ventricular ejection
fraction (ACEF) score (age/ejection fraction + 1 for each 10 mL of creatinine
clearance
Cardiovascular disease (CVD) and chronic renal insufficiency (CRI) are global
public health concerns [1]. Earlier research has indicated an increasing
prevalence of concomitant CVD with worsening renal function [2]. Patients with
CRI have a lower success rate, higher risk of complications, and worse clinical
results in comparison with normal renal function patients while receiving
percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) [3]. Therefore, identifying high-risk
CRI patients and undertaking early warning and intervention measures could
enhance the clinical results following PCI. The SYNTAX score (SS) is recognized
as a vital tool for guiding decisions between coronary artery bypass grafting
(CABG) and PCI [4, 5, 6]. It has been demonstrated that the SS’s utility in
objectively selecting the most appropriate revascularization technique can be
further enhanced by the inclusion of clinical factors [7]. The clinical SYNTAX
score (CSS), calculated by multiplying the SS with the modified age, creatinine,
and left ventricular ejection fraction (ACEF) score (ACEF
In total 14,174 patients who underwent PCI in Cangzhou Central Hospital, Hebei
Medical University from January 2014 to September 2017 were retrospectively
enrolled. The glomerular filtration rate was estimated for all patients utilizing
the simplified Modification of Diet in Renal Disease method. As per our previous
description, a subset of 2468 patients exhibited an assessed glomerular
filtration rate (eGFR) of
Flow chart of this study. CAD, coronary artery disease; CRI, chronic renal insufficiency; CABG, coronary artery bypass grafting; PCI, percutaneous coronary intervention; MI, Myocardial infarction; CSS, Clinical SYNTAX score.
As per the website’s description (https://syntaxscore.org/), the SS for every
patient was calculated for each lesion with
All patients who were enrolled underwent annual follow-up conducted through outpatient visits or telephone interviews. All-cause mortality (ACM) and cardiac mortality (CM) were the primary endpoints. Secondary endpoints comprised of unplanned revascularization, MI, stroke, and major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events (MACCE). ACM, unplanned revascularization, MI, and stroke were all integrated to define MACCE. Unless a non-cardiogenic cause was established, all deaths were attributed to CM. The fourth universal definition of MI served as the criterion for defining MI [12].
R software version 3.6.0 and SPSS version 24.0 (IBM Corp., Armonk, NY, USA) were
employed for the statistical analyses. The continuous variables were presented as
mean
The baseline clinical, angiographic, and procedural features of patients,
stratified based on the tertiles of CSS, are presented in Table 1 and
Supplementary Table 1. The median age of patients was 66.0 (60.0–71.0)
years, and the study encompassed 559 (58.1%) male patients. The SS ranged from
5.0 to 44.5, while the modified ACEF score spanned from 0.55 to 2.38. The range
of CSS was 5.7 to 184.2. As compared to the patients of the group with low or
mid-CSS, those in the group with high CSS were older (p
CSS |
CSS |
CSS |
p-value | ||
(n = 321) | (n = 317) | (n = 324) | |||
Age, years | 63.0 (57.0–68.0) | 66.0 (61.0–69.0) | 69.0 (64.0–73.8) | ||
Sex | 0.596 | ||||
Female | 128 (39.9) | 133 (42.0) | 142 (43.8) | ||
Male | 193 (60.1) | 184 (58.0) | 182 (56.2) | ||
BMI, kg/m |
26.09 |
26.02 |
26.35 |
0.381 | |
Hypertension | 224 (69.8) | 226 (71.3) | 224 (69.1) | 0.830 | |
Diabetes | 66 (20.6) | 79 (24.9) | 98 (30.2) | 0.018 | |
Hyperlipidemia | 124 (38.6%) | 128 (40.4) | 139 (42.9) | 0.540 | |
Previous Smoking | 37 (11.5) | 47 (14.8) | 28 (8.6) | 0.051 | |
Previous Stroke | 24 (7.5) | 34 (10.7) | 44 (13.6) | 0.042 | |
COPD, n (%) | 5 (1.6) | 2 (0.6) | 9 (2.8) | 0.103 | |
eGFR, mL/min | 81.0 (73.9–85.8) | 79.5 (72.4–85.5) | 70.8 (54.6–80.9) | ||
Renal function | |||||
60 |
319 (99.4) | 307 (96.8) | 207 (63.9) | ||
30 |
2 (0.6) | 10 (3.2) | 104 (32.1) | ||
eGFR |
0 (0) | 0 (0) | 13 (4) | ||
Heart function | 0.371 | ||||
I | 264 (82.2) | 273 (86.1) | 268 (82.7) | ||
II | 42 (13.1) | 30 (9.5) | 36 (11.1) | ||
III | 6 (1.9) | 8 (2.5) | 14 (4.3) | ||
IV | 9 (2.8) | 6 (1.9) | 6 (1.9) | ||
LVEF, % | 63.6 (60.0–67.9) | 62.0 (56.9–66.0) | 60.0 (51.0–64.2) | ||
LVEDD (mm) | 47.1 (45.0–52.7) | 47.4 (44.9–51.0) | 47.0 (44.1–50.3) | 0.018 | |
Creatinine (mg/dL) | 0.9 (0.8–1.0) | 0.9 (0.8–1.0) | 1.0 (0.9–1.3) |
Values are mean
The cumulative rates of adverse events over a 5-year period, stratified as per
the tertiles of CSS, have been presented in Fig. 2 and Supplementary
Table 2. The Kaplan-Meier cumulative risk curves demonstrated that the high CSS
group exhibited the highest incidences of ACM (19.4% vs. 6.6% vs. 3.6%,
p
Event rates depicted by Kaplan-Meier curves, stratified by CSS across five years. (A) All-cause death. (B) Cardiac death. (C) Myocardial infarction. (D) Stroke. (E) Unplanned revascularization. (F) Major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events. MACCE, major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events; CSS, clinical SYNTAX score.
In terms of ACM, the univariable cox regression analysis indicated that the high
CSS group exhibited an expected 3.485-fold and 2.075-fold increase in risk
compared to the low and medium CSS group, respectively (all p
Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression for all-cause mortality, cardiac mortality and major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events. MACCE, major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events; CSS, clinical SYNTAX score; NYHA, New York Heart Association; HR, hazard ratio.
Fig. 4 depicts the ROC curves for ACM and CM considering the SS, ACEF
ROC curves for all-cause mortality (A) and cardiac mortality (B)
at median 3-year follow-up for the SS, modified ACEF score, and CSS. AUC, area
under the curve; SS, SYNTAX score; CSS, clinical SYNTAX score; ACEF
The calibration curves of the CSS, assessing the probability of ACM and CM, demonstrated a good agreement between prediction and observation (Fig. 5). The Hosmer-Lemeshow tests yielded non-significant statistics implying that there was no departure from perfect fit for ACM (p = 0.632), CM (p = 0.444), MI (p = 0.485), unplanned revascularization (p = 0.734), and MACCE (p = 0.293). However, the Hosmer-Lemeshow test for stroke was statistically significant (p = 0.024) (Table 2).
Calibration curves for all-cause mortality (A) and cardiac mortality (B) at median 3-year follow-up for CSS. CSS, clinical SYNTAX score.
Variables | HR (95% CI) |
p-value | AUC (95% CI) |
H- L |
(p-value) | ||||
All-cause mortality | 1.017 (1.009–1.025) | 0.666 (0.593–0.739) | 6.140 (0.632) | |
Cardiac mortality | 1.016 (1.007–1.025) | 0.001 | 0.668 (0.591–0.746) | 7.889 (0.444) |
Myocardial infarction | 1.013 (1.004–1.023) | 0.007 | 0.651 (0.541–0.762) | 7.490 (0.485) |
Unplanned revascularization | 1.011 (1.003–1.018) | 0.006 | 0.625 (0.562–0.688) | 5.221 (0.734) |
Stroke | 1.015 (1.007–1.022) | 0.656 (0.590–0.723) | 17.594 (0.024) | |
MACCE | 1.010 (1.005–1.016) | 0.594 (0.565–0.628) | 9.618 (0.290) |
CI, confidence interval; AUC, area under the curve; CSS, clinical SYNTAX Score (continuous variable); H-L, Hosmer-Lemeshow; HR, hazard ratio; MACCE, major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events.
This research verified the prognostic significance of CSS in patients with left main and/or three-vessel CAD and CRI undergoing PCI. The primary finding of the current research was as follows: following PCI with left main and/or three-vessel CAD and CRI patients, the CSS exhibited superior predictive performance compared to the SS in relation to ACM and CM. Additionally, the CSS served as an independent predictor of long-term ACM, CM, MI, stroke, unplanned revascularization, and MACCE.
Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is a considerable concern of public health worldwide [14]. It is believed to have a prevalence of 14% in the United States [15]. Over the period of 1990 to 2016, the global incidence, prevalence, deaths, and DALYs related to CKD have increased by 89%, 87%, 98%, and 62%, respectively [14]. The National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases (NIDDK) established the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) study, a multicentric prospective cohort research [16]. It has been revealed that CRI was significantly associated with left ventricular hypertrophy, heart failure [17], vascular stiffness, coronary artery calcification [18, 19], and adverse cardiovascular events [20]. Furthermore, prior investigations have revealed that CRI is associated with lower surgical success rates, more severe complications, increased risk of restenosis, recurrent MI, and stent thrombosis [3].
Within daily clinical practice, the stratification of risk and risk-benefit assessment following PCI hold immense importance. The SS, derived from the complexity and severity of CAD, has been demonstrated to be a valuable tool for stratifying complex CAD patients to assist in decisions of revascularization [4, 5]. Additional studies have substantiated its ability to predict clinical results following PCI in diverse clinical settings [21, 22]. However, SS’s prognostic significance was questioned for its accuracy and specificity, owing to its lack of incorporation of clinical characteristics that influence clinical outcomes [9]. The ROC analysis in the current research indicated a modest predictive value of SS for median 3-year ACM and CM. In addition, the C-statistics for ACM and CM were 0.597 and 0.592, respectively, and these values were insufficient to serve as a reference for clinical practice.
Earlier research has highlighted that scoring systems which incorporate anatomic
and clinical variables are superior to angiographic SS [23]. The ACEF score,
established with only age, LVEF, and serum creatinine values, has validated its
comparability to complex scores, like the European System for Cardiac Operative
Risk Evaluation (EUROSCORE) which included 17 clinical variables [24]. The CSS,
incorporating both anatomical features and clinical variables (as with the
ACEF
This study marks the first validation of CSS’s predictive significance in terms of median 3-year outcomes for patients with complex CAD and CRI following PCI. As per the findings of this research, CSS exhibited superior accuracy in predicting ACM (AUC: 0.666 vs. 0.597, p = 0.018) and CM (AUC: 0.668 vs. 0.592, p = 0.035) in comparison to SS. The performance of CSS for predicting ACM resembled the results obtained by Garg and Girasis [8]. However, the predictive ability of CSS for CM was notably lower compared with the studies conducted by Capodanno et al. [25] and He et al. [26] (AUC: 0.668 vs. 0.762 or 0.740). A possible explanation for this difference could be the fact that the population and follow-up timing in these studies were different.
The current research has several limitations. First, owing to the post-hoc nature of the analysis, the findings should only be used to form hypotheses. Second, patients with prior PCI or CABG, prior MI, and a previous history of undergoing other cardiac surgery and malignant tumors were excluded from this research. Therefore, a selection bias might be present. Third, in this research, the fractional flow reserve (FFR) to determine the functional significance of coronary artery lesions was not used, as recommended by international guidelines in clinical practice [6]. Finally, this was a single-center, real-world study. To effectively understand individual performance with diverse risk models, further prospective, multicenter, and large-sample clinical studies should be conducted
The CSS significantly improved risk stratification for median 3-year ACM and CM in comparison with SS. Hence, this allowed for an individualized risk assessment in complex CAD and CRI patients following PCI.
The authors are committed to providing raw data supporting the conclusions of this study. The detailed data related to the findings of this study are available from the corresponding author upon reasonable request.
LQY and MYL designed the research study. MYL, XL, MJ performed the research. YML, ZPL, SCL, YM and XFC analyzed the data. LQY, MYL, XL, MJ, YML, ZPL, SCL, YM and XFC been involved in drafting the manuscript or reviewing it critically for important intellectual content; All authors read and approved the final manuscript. All authors contributed to editorial changes in the manuscript. All authors have participated sufficiently in the work and agreed to be accountable for all aspects of the work. The manuscript’s submission was approved by all authors who contributed to it.
Cangzhou Central Hospital’s Ethics Committee, Hebei Medical University granted its approval to the research procedure. In all cases, written informed permission could be effectively provided. The ethics approval number is 2017-006-01.
We are grateful to all of the volunteers whose contributions made this research possible.
Natural Science Foundation of Hebei Province, China (H2021110008) and Hebei Provence Key Research Projects (172777163) provided funding for this research.
The authors declare no conflict of interest.
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